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It would be time to count Clinton out - if she were not a Clinton - a family that seems to win under pressure. However, in Obama's latest victory, he cut directly into her base. Exit surveys conducted for The Associated Press on Tuesday show she can't rely on white people and women in large enough numbers to ensure victory.
The two candidates split the white vote in Virginia evenly, while Clinton won with that group in Maryland by 10 percentage points. Before Tuesday, Clinton had clearly defeated Obama among whites in all but three states with Democratic primaries, and had a 14 percentage point advantage with white voters in those prior contests combined.
She can't object to the process being a caucus instead of a more representative primary. All three contests were primaries, and he won all three by more than 20 percentage points.
Obama won all income groups in both states and all age categories in Virginia, while Clinton ran even with him among those 60 and older in Maryland. While the Obama campaign boasted that they won the Latino vote in Virginia, the number of Hispanics participating in the poll was too low to draw any broad conclusions.
Clinton still wins women, the core of her support, but Obama cut into her lead. In Virginia, Clinton won among white females by just 9 percentage points. Her margin was twice that in Maryland, but still below the even bigger advantage she is accustomed to from that group.
The Clinton campaign is depending on victories in Texas and Ohio - calling it a firewall. However, mayor Rudy was the last candidate to erect a firewall (Florida) and his house burned down. Clinton may yet pull it out - but Obama's momentum makes him the candidate to beat.
10 Comments:
Maybe Obama would get more of the (straight) female vote if he would release a picture of himself doing something athletic and topless like the pics of russian Pres. Putin fishing bare chested while on vacation last year. Putin is a homophobic fascist like Bush, but he does have nice pecs. I know this is a shallow posting, but sex appeal sells just as much in politics as it does in advertising. Just had an amusing thought, when Clinton was running for pres the first time, a girl at one of his rallies asked him, "boxers or briefs", he laughed and said "boxers". Someone should ask Obama, 'how many inches'? I dont think he would answer that one. (Laugh)
posted by Anonymous, at
2/13/2008 11:06 AM
I saw him naked once in a gym lockerroom. he has about 8 to nice inches...well hung, for sure.
I wanted to go down on him, but he was straight and had no interest. It kind of sucked, because I have the ability to deep throat - even big black studs.
posted by Anonymous, at
2/13/2008 11:15 AM
Anonymous 2, why do I think you're full of shit!
posted by Anonymous, at
2/13/2008 12:31 PM
If the Democrats are smart--they will nominate Obama. Hillary is the most polarizing figure in politics and cannot win the general election. If the Democrats nominate her, we will be stuck with another 4 years of Republican rule--something this country has had enough of.
posted by Anonymous, at
2/13/2008 5:07 PM
